MJNY(SZ:000723) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2026-01-18 08:55Core Viewpoint - Shanxi Meijin Energy Co., Ltd. (Meijin Energy) is expected to report a net profit loss of between 850 million to 1.25 billion yuan for the year 2025, primarily due to a downward trend in coal and coke prices, which has pressured the company's gross margins [2][5][4]. Company Overview - Meijin Energy is engaged in the production and sale of coal, coke, natural gas, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, possessing rich coal and coalbed methane resources. The company has a complete industrial chain from "coal-coke-gas-hydrogen" and is one of the larger independent producers of coke and coking coal in China [4]. - As of mid-2025, the company operates four coal mines with an approved capacity of 6.3 million tons per year and a coke production capacity of 10.95 million tons per year, with an in-production capacity of 8.95 million tons per year [4]. Financial Performance - The company's net profit peaked at 2.541 billion yuan in 2021 but has since declined significantly, with profits dropping to 2.209 billion yuan in 2022, 289 million yuan in 2023, and a projected loss of 1.143 billion yuan in 2024 [4][6]. - In the first half of 2025, Meijin Energy's coke production increased by 26.53% to 3.756 million tons, but the reliance on the coke business, which accounted for 97.45% of revenue with a gross margin of only 2.36%, led to a net profit loss of 674 million yuan [5][4]. Industry Context - The coke industry is experiencing significant fluctuations and structural differentiation, with overall profits remaining low due to a 20% average decline in coke prices last year. The cost reductions have not translated into profit increases, as steel mills have sufficient reasons to lower coke prices [2][5]. - The forecast for 2026 indicates a continued oversupply in the coke market, with a projected decrease in pig iron production by approximately 800,000 tons, which will further reduce coke demand. The price of coke is expected to range between 1,250 to 1,700 yuan per ton [11]. Hydrogen Business Development - Meijin Energy has been investing in hydrogen energy since 2017, but this segment is still in a loss-making phase, with revenues of approximately 211 million yuan and costs of about 244 million yuan in the first half of 2025, resulting in a gross margin of -15.85% [9][10]. - The company has various hydrogen projects underway, including high-purity hydrogen production and partnerships for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, but the overall contribution of the hydrogen business to total revenue remains low at 2.55% [10]. Wealth Impact - The financial struggles of Meijin Energy are closely tied to the wealth of the controlling Yao Junliang family, which has seen a significant decline in fortune as the company's profits have plummeted [6][7].