国信证券：关注瓜子及魔芋成本红利线索 把握优质龙头盈利改善机会

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that the decline in material costs for food and beverage companies primarily occurs in two scenarios: during a bear market for commodities and when specific agricultural raw material prices drop due to changes in supply and demand dynamics in niche markets [1] Group 1: Cost Impact on Performance - Cost fluctuations are a significant factor affecting the short-term performance of consumer goods companies, with operating costs accounting for approximately 70% of revenue, and material costs typically representing 65%-85% of operating costs [1] - Historical analysis shows that material cost declines for food and beverage companies mainly occur during commodity bear markets or when specific agricultural raw material prices drop due to supply and demand changes [2] Group 2: Cost Dividend Clues for 2026 - The price of edible sunflower seeds is expected to decline by over 10% in 2026, benefiting leading sunflower seed companies like Qiaqia Food (002557), which derives over 60% of its revenue from sunflower seeds [3] - The price of konjac powder is projected to decrease by 10%-20% in 2026, benefiting leading konjac snack companies such as Weilong Delicious (with over 60% of revenue from konjac snacks) and Yanjin Shop (with approximately 30% of revenue from konjac snacks) [4]