华源证券：维持华润电力“买入”评级 新能源上市或减轻资金压力

Core Viewpoint - Huayuan Securities maintains a "buy" rating for China Resources Power (00836), highlighting the company's strong performance in the first three quarters of 2025 due to falling coal prices, despite anticipated challenges in 2026 from declining annual electricity prices and the implementation of the electricity spot market [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Growth - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 31.71% year-on-year, significantly up from a growth rate of 3.99% in the first half of 2025; the net profit for the third quarter alone surged by 77.89% year-on-year [2]. - The increase in electricity sales volume in the third quarter was driven by a 4.7% year-on-year growth in thermal power sales, with total electricity sales from thermal, wind, hydro, and solar sources reaching 157.8 billion, 43.7 billion, 2.1 billion, and 13.2 billion kWh respectively, reflecting growth rates of 1.3%, 16.4%, 35.9%, and 55.5% [2]. Group 2: Future Outlook and Strategy - The company is expected to face a challenging year in 2026 due to anticipated declines in annual electricity prices and increased competition in the electricity market, influenced by factors such as rising capacity prices and the promotion of the spot market [3]. - The company aims to achieve a target of 10 GW of new energy installations in 2025, with an additional 7 GW of coal power capacity, which is expected to enhance its resilience during industry downturns [4]. - The successful spin-off of the new energy business for listing is projected to raise 24.5 billion to support the group's new energy development, potentially alleviating capital expenditure pressures for China Resources Power [4].