Guosen Securities(SZ:002736) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-20 05:09Core Viewpoint - The long-term upward trend of A-shares remains unchanged despite short-term declines in major indices, supported by macroeconomic policies and expected recovery in corporate earnings [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the midday close, the CSI A500 index fell by 0.7%, the CSI A100 index decreased by 0.6%, and the CSI A50 index dropped by 0.5% [1] Group 2: Macroeconomic Policies - In the medium to long term, the macro policy cycle is expected to create a favorable liquidity environment for the market, particularly with the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan in 2026, which will see multiple departments issuing supporting industrial policies and investment plans [1] Group 3: Capital Inflows - The anticipated inflow of long-term funds, including insurance capital, resident funds, and foreign capital driven by currency appreciation, is expected to bring additional capital into the market [1] Group 4: Corporate Earnings Outlook - It is projected that corporate earnings will enter a mild recovery phase in 2026, and the market will focus on the potential turning point in profitability as a key support for market trends [1]