Tesla(US:TSLA) Finbold·2026-01-20 13:08Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to report its Q4 2025 earnings on January 28, 2026, with investors focused on whether the results can justify the stock's high valuation [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Wall Street anticipates moderate profitability for the quarter, with consensus earnings per share estimated between $0.77 and $0.85 [3] - Revenue estimates for Q4 2025 are projected to be in the mid-to-high $20 billion range, reflecting softer demand growth and increased competition in the electric vehicle market [3] Production and Delivery Figures - Tesla reported production of 434,358 vehicles and deliveries of 418,227 in Q4 2025, which is a 16% year-over-year decline from 495,570 in Q4 2024 [4] - For the full year 2025, Tesla delivered 1,636,129 vehicles, down nearly 9% from 2024, marking a second consecutive annual decline in shipments [4] Stock Performance Predictions - If Tesla exceeds earnings expectations and provides a positive outlook, the stock could rise to the $460 to $500 range [6] - If results meet expectations but guidance is cautious, shares may trade sideways or slightly lower, likely in the $420 to $450 range [6] - In a downside scenario, missing earnings estimates or signaling weaker demand could lead to a stock decline to the $380 to $420 range [7] Earnings Call Significance - With delivery figures already known and expectations tempered, the upcoming earnings call is expected to be crucial for determining stock performance [8]