CHINARES PHARMA(HK:03320) Ge Long Hui·2026-01-20 12:58Core Viewpoint - China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited is a leading comprehensive pharmaceutical company in China, ranking among the top three in the industry, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5% in revenue from 2019 to 2024 [1] Group 1: Pharmaceutical Manufacturing and OTC Business - The company is the largest OTC manufacturer in China, focusing on consumer health products (CHC), with traditional Chinese medicine and health products accounting for nearly 60% of revenue by mid-2025 [1] - The pharmaceutical business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.4% from 2022 to 2024, driven by both organic growth and acquisitions [2] - By mid-2025, the revenue from OTC traditional Chinese medicine and chemical OTC products reached 8.7 billion yuan and 2.5 billion yuan, respectively, making up 45% of the pharmaceutical business revenue [1] Group 2: Business Expansion through Acquisitions - The company expanded its business scope through acquisitions, including a 43% stake in Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical in February 2019, enhancing its position in the traditional Chinese medicine sector [2] - Acquisitions of 28% stakes in Kunming Pharmaceutical and Tasly Pharmaceutical in December 2022 and March 2025, respectively, further solidified its leadership in the traditional Chinese medicine industry [2] - The company entered the blood products sector by acquiring a 29% stake in Boya Bio-Pharmaceutical in November 2021 and expanded into medical devices with the acquisition of Nanger Technology in February 2025 [2] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Distribution - The company ranks third in the pharmaceutical distribution industry, with revenue reaching 110 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, following China National Pharmaceutical Group and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals [3] - The distribution business generated 108.3 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, with medical device revenue growing by 8% to 18 billion yuan [3] - Retail revenue reached 5.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth, supported by the establishment of specialized pharmacies and a new retail system [3] Group 4: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to ordinary shareholders of 3.49 billion yuan, 3.76 billion yuan, and 4.05 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.0%, 7.9%, and 7.7% [3] - A price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 8.7 times is assigned for 2026, corresponding to a market value of 35.3 billion Hong Kong dollars, indicating a 24% upside potential from the current market value of 28.5 billion Hong Kong dollars [3]