TCL电子(01070.HK)：业绩预告超股权激励目标 各板块发展向好

Core Viewpoint - The company expects adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be between HKD 23.3 billion and HKD 25.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 45%-60% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The lower limit of the profit forecast aligns with the company's stock incentive assessment target, indicating that the 2025 performance exceeds market expectations [1] - Based on the strong performance in 2025, the likelihood of achieving the assessment target of HKD 28.1 billion in 2026 is considered high [1] - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards to HKD 24.7 billion, HKD 28.8 billion, and HKD 34.5 billion respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 11.1x, 9.5x, and 8.0x [2] Group 2: Business Development - The company's large-size display business continues to maintain a leading market position, with significant progress in the mid-to-high-end segment, achieving a global TV shipment of 27.51 million units from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7% [1] - The global market share for the company reached 14.6%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared to 2024 [1] - The Mini LED shipments have seen exponential growth in the first three quarters of 2025, contributing to structural optimization both domestically and internationally [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The company is enhancing its global supply chain and channel advantages, improving its ability to respond to global operational risks [1] - There is a continuous improvement in AI digital capabilities, leading to increased operational efficiency and a reduction in expense ratios, which supports steady performance release [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendation - The company is recognized as a leading player in the global TV industry, with ongoing enhancements in mid-to-high-end and global operational capabilities driving steady market share expansion [2] - The company also solidifies growth momentum in areas outside its main business, such as photovoltaics, comprehensive marketing, and internet services [2] - The company possesses both dividend attributes and technological potential, maintaining a "buy" rating based on the positive earnings announcement exceeding expectations [2]