中金:维持古茗跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至36港元

Core Viewpoint - The company has raised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 9% and 19% respectively, reaching 2.52 billion and 3.2 billion yuan, and introduced a profit forecast of 3.9 billion yuan for 2027, reflecting better-than-expected store opening pace and gross margin improvements [1][2]. Group 1 - The company is expected to achieve a 64% year-on-year growth in core profit for 2025, with a projected revenue increase of 46% [2]. - The adjusted core net profit for 2025 is forecasted to reach 2.52 billion yuan, with a significant increase in the second half of 2025, driven by store openings and improved gross margins [2][3]. - The company anticipates a net increase of nearly 3,500 stores in 2025, surpassing a total of 13,000 stores, with strong same-store performance and expansion in key markets [3]. Group 2 - In 2026, the company will focus on dine-in services and brand upgrades, with expectations for same-store revenue growth of 0-5% despite the reduction in delivery subsidies [4]. - The company plans to enhance its brand recognition and value through the upgrade of its store image and the introduction of new products, aiming to solidify its competitive advantage [4]. - The company’s team and franchisees have demonstrated strong execution capabilities, indicating resilience in performance despite external challenges [4].

中金:维持古茗跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至36港元 - Reportify