宏达股份：预计2025年全年净亏损7000万元—8200万元

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hongda Co., is expected to report a significant net loss for the year 2025, with projected losses ranging from 70 million to 82 million yuan, primarily due to challenges in its zinc smelting, natural gas chemical, and phosphate chemical segments [1]. Group 1: Zinc Smelting - The zinc smelting segment is facing pressure from increased domestic zinc production capacity and weakened downstream demand, leading to a decline in zinc product prices. The price of 0 zinc ingots dropped from 25,800 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year to a low of 21,950 yuan per ton in June [1]. - The company is experiencing a cost disadvantage as the production costs of products made from early-year inventory remain high, resulting in a situation where sales prices are lower than production costs [1]. - Despite rising prices for by-products like silver and copper, the significant increase in raw material costs continues to challenge the profitability of the zinc smelting business, leading to expected losses for the year [1]. Group 2: Natural Gas Chemicals - In the natural gas chemical sector, the company is facing increased competition due to a decline in coal prices, which has lowered production costs for ammonia producers, resulting in a rise in ammonia supply and a continuous drop in prices [1]. - The average selling price of ammonia from the company's subsidiary, Sichuan Mianzhu Chuanrun Chemical Co., decreased by 298.27 yuan per ton, representing a decline of 12.22% compared to the previous year [1]. - This competitive environment has led to significant losses in the company's natural gas chemical business for 2025 [1]. Group 3: Phosphate Chemicals - The phosphate chemical segment is impacted by low agricultural product prices and extreme weather conditions in key sales regions, leading to a cautious attitude among end-users and a decline in both sales volume and prices of compound fertilizers [1]. - The prices of key raw materials such as urea and potassium fertilizer have surged, resulting in increased production costs and a decrease in gross margins [1]. - Although the sales volume and prices of phosphate products saw a slight increase compared to the previous year, the tight supply of sulfur in the market has led to a significant price increase of 1,096 yuan per ton, or 103%, further raising production costs and reducing profitability in this segment [1].