CLARITY法案卡壳 Coinbase与华尔街“生死博弈”将触发加密货币黑天鹅?

Group 1 - Coinbase's CEO Brian Armstrong's actions have caused significant rifts in the cryptocurrency sector, leading to delays in key regulatory legislation [1][2] - The White House has criticized the cryptocurrency industry, emphasizing that political influence should not be taken for granted [1] - The CLARITY Act aims to establish a comprehensive federal regulatory framework for digital assets, which could reduce compliance uncertainty and promote institutional investment [2][3] Group 2 - The withdrawal of support for the CLARITY Act by Armstrong has raised concerns among industry executives about the overreach of political influence [1][3] - The Senate Banking Committee's review of the CLARITY Act has been indefinitely postponed due to Armstrong's opposition to certain provisions, particularly regarding stablecoin rewards [4][5] - The agricultural committee is also working on its version of the market structure bill, complicating the legislative process amid an election year [5] Group 3 - Concerns have emerged that the delay in the CLARITY Act could lead to a "regulatory black swan" event that may trigger a market crash [3] - The cryptocurrency industry has been a significant donor in the 2023-2024 U.S. presidential election cycle, contributing over $133 million to candidates perceived as supportive of their agenda [6] - The stablecoin market is rapidly expanding, with predictions that its size could reach $2 trillion, highlighting its potential impact on the global financial system [7][8] Group 4 - The debate over stablecoin rewards has become a major point of contention between Wall Street banks and the cryptocurrency industry, with banks fearing deposit outflows [8][11] - Armstrong has framed the conflict as a struggle for consumer interests against banking lobbyists, asserting that the proposed restrictions are harmful [11][12] - The cryptocurrency industry is engaged in a "long game" to embed favorable terms into U.S. financial regulations, anticipating future political shifts [12][13]