丽人丽妆转型阵痛持续：亏损扩大，自有品牌成主要“失血点”

Core Viewpoint - The company Liren Lizhuang (605136.SH) has issued a profit warning, expecting a significant increase in net losses for 2025, attributed to high investments in developing its own brands, which have not yet generated corresponding economic benefits [3][4][6]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net loss of between 63.2 million to 79 million yuan for 2025, with a non-recurring net loss expected to be between 66.4 million to 83 million yuan [3]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected to decline by 37.44% year-on-year to 1.728 billion yuan, marking a significant drop from 4.155 billion yuan in 2021 [4][6]. Business Model Challenges - The traditional business model of brand agency operations is under severe pressure due to intensified competition, declining traffic on traditional e-commerce platforms, and a weak consumer environment [3][5]. - The company's reliance on a few brands and a single e-commerce platform has weakened its risk resilience, leading to structural challenges [3][5]. Brand Development and Strategy - The company has elevated its own brand strategy, focusing on brands like "Yurongchu" and "Meiyitang," which recorded a 110% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, although the absolute scale remains small [5][6]. - The revenue from self-owned brands is expected to account for less than 10% of total revenue in 2024, indicating that high investments in R&D and marketing have not yet translated into profitability [6]. Industry Context and Transformation - The challenges faced by Liren Lizhuang reflect a broader anxiety within traditional e-commerce service providers as they navigate a changing market landscape [7][8]. - The company is exploring a transformation path that includes diversifying channels, enhancing data-driven operations, and improving supply chain efficiency [7][8]. - The transition from a channel service provider to a brand manager is fraught with challenges, requiring significant resources and time to achieve [8].