大行评级|花旗:大幅上调五矿资源目标价至12.5港元,维持“买入”评级
MMGMMG(HK:01208) Ge Long Hui·2026-01-26 06:31

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that Minmetals Resources held a production update and business outlook conference call for Q4 2025 and 2026, highlighting a decrease in copper production but an optimistic forecast for future output [1] Group 1: Production Updates - Las Bambas project saw Q4 copper production decrease by 5% quarter-on-quarter to 97,300 tons, and an 8% year-on-year decline, but is expected to improve in Q1 2026 [1] - Management targets copper production of 400,000 tons for 2026 under stable operating conditions, with a conservative lower estimate of 380,000 tons, and anticipates maintaining similar annual production levels in the coming years [1] - C1 cost guidance for 2026 is set at $1.20 to $1.40 per pound, with potential reductions of $0.20 to $0.30 per pound if gold and silver prices remain high [1] Group 2: Kinsevere Project - Kinsevere project reported Q4 electrolytic copper production of 12,600 tons, a 15% quarter-on-quarter decline but a 21% year-on-year increase [1] - Management expects electrolytic copper production for this year to reach between 65,000 to 75,000 tons [1] Group 3: Financial Forecasts - Citigroup raised Minmetals Resources' earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 3%, 47.2%, and 5.6%, resulting in projections of $801 million, $1.721 billion, and $1.545 billion respectively [1] - The target price for Minmetals Resources was significantly increased from HKD 7.20 to HKD 12.50, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

MMG-大行评级|花旗:大幅上调五矿资源目标价至12.5港元,维持“买入”评级 - Reportify