Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered Bank forecasts global economic growth to remain at 3.4% in 2026, consistent with 2025, driven increasingly by domestic demand and fiscal policies [1] Group 1: Economic Growth Projections - The US economic growth forecast has been revised upward from 1.7% to 2.3%, indicating strong growth expectations [1] - Inflationary pressures in the US may limit the Federal Reserve's ability to further ease monetary policy, with no interest rate cuts expected this year [1] Group 2: Market Risks and Uncertainties - The likelihood of extreme situations in global markets is heightened due to rising market risk factors, ongoing trade policy uncertainties, and expanding geopolitical risks [1] Group 3: China Economic Outlook - China's economic growth is expected to maintain a robust momentum, driven by technology-related investments, productivity growth, and policies promoting domestic demand [1] - Although China's foreign trade growth may moderate this year, efforts to diversify trade partners and a cooling of US-China trade tensions are expected to mitigate related impacts [1]
渣打：预计美联储年内不再减息 今年环球市场出现极端情况几率更高