中金:石药集团与阿斯利康达成重磅合作 维持“跑赢行业”评级

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains "outperform" rating for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) and raises target price by 9.1% to HKD 12, while keeping profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at CNY 4.76 billion and CNY 5.35 billion, respectively, and introducing a forecast of CNY 5.70 billion for 2027 [1] Group 1 - CSPC Pharmaceutical has signed a research and licensing agreement with AstraZeneca for the exclusive global development, production, and commercialization of eight innovative long-acting peptide drug projects, excluding mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau [2] - AstraZeneca will pay a total of USD 1.2 billion in upfront payments and up to USD 3.5 billion in cumulative milestone payments for development and sales, with Giant Biologics (a subsidiary of New Horizon (300765)) entitled to 35% of the upfront payment and subsequent milestone payments [2] Group 2 - The company is betting on long-acting peptide drugs to compete in the weight loss and metabolic market, with its drug SYH2082 progressing to Phase I clinical trials as a monthly injection GLP1R/GIP agonist [3] - Pfizer's acquisition of Metsera for USD 10 billion highlights the competitive landscape, as Metsera's proprietary NuSH platform enables a long half-life for its weight loss drug MET-097 [3] Group 3 - CSPC has achieved significant external licensing agreements in 2025, including USD 120 million for oral small molecule GLP-1, USD 110 million for the AstraZeneca strategic partnership, and USD 15 million for ROR1ADC, indicating a trend towards regular income from external licensing [4] - The company's R&D pipeline includes advanced innovative assets such as EGFR ADC and SiRNA series, which are expected to lead to further successful licensing and milestone revenue recognition [4]

CSPC PHARMA-中金:石药集团与阿斯利康达成重磅合作 维持“跑赢行业”评级 - Reportify