研报掘金丨开源证券：维持指南针“买入”评级，证券业务高增体现协同效应

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the company meets expectations, with significant growth in its securities business reflecting synergistic effects [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company benefits from a favorable stock market, leading to steady growth in financial information service revenue [1] - Cash flow performance aligns with expectations, and the securities business continues to develop rapidly [1] - The market trading volume assumption has been revised down, with net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 adjusted to 360 million and 480 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 57% and 34% [1] Group 2: Future Projections - A new forecast for 2028 predicts a net profit of 580 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 210.8, 157.3, and 130.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company is set to complete the acquisition and capital increase of Pioneer Fund, holding a 90% stake, which will enhance its wealth management ecosystem [1] - An annual dividend of 49 million is proposed, with a dividend payout ratio of 21% [1] Group 4: Business Synergies - The company's software and securities businesses benefit from the stock market rise, with high operational leverage resulting in significant net profit elasticity [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its performance and growth prospects [1]