鸣鸣很忙上市之后:低毛利,真的能成为一门好生意吗?

Core Viewpoint - The listing of Hunan Mingming Henmang Commercial Chain Co., Ltd. marks a significant event in the Hong Kong stock market, being dubbed the "first stock of bulk snacks" and attracting substantial interest from global capital, with oversubscription rates reaching nearly 1900 times in public offerings and 44 times in international placements, indicating high market recognition [2][6]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to grow from 4.286 billion yuan to 39.344 billion yuan, while adjusted net profit is expected to rise from 81 million yuan to 913 million yuan, with profit growth consistently outpacing revenue growth [6][8]. - In the first nine months of 2025, adjusted net profit reached 1.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 240.86%, significantly exceeding the 75.21% revenue growth [6][8]. - The gross margin improved from 7.45% in 2022 to 9.73% in the first nine months of 2025, supported by effective cost control in procurement and logistics [8][12]. Operational Efficiency - The company's GMV surged from 6.447 billion yuan in 2022 to 66.060 billion yuan in the first nine months of 2025, with inventory turnover days remaining stable at 11 to 13.4 days, indicating high sales velocity and efficient capital utilization [12][15]. - The number of franchise stores increased from 1,898 at the end of 2022 to 19,494 in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a mature and standardized operational system that supports franchisees in managing multiple stores [15][18]. Supply Chain Advantages - The company leverages a deeply integrated supply chain system that transforms its extensive store network and consumer data into substantial industry influence, enhancing its bargaining power and enabling direct procurement from over 2,500 factories [18][20]. - Approximately 34% of its SKUs are customized products, with a member repurchase rate of 77%, indicating strong market alignment and product differentiation [20][21]. - The establishment of 48 logistics warehouses across the country supports efficient distribution, ensuring a delivery capability within 24 hours and facilitating rapid market penetration [21][24]. Long-term Value Proposition - The supply chain system not only explains the company's current performance but also defines its future growth trajectory, ensuring sustainable growth and creating competitive barriers that are difficult for competitors to replicate [25][28]. - The efficiency improvements in the supply chain reduce operational risks for franchisees, enhancing profitability and attracting more quality franchise partners, thereby reinforcing the store network [28][29]. - The company's ability to manage supply chain efficiency is seen as its core competitive advantage, shifting the focus from mere sales to comprehensive supply chain management [29].

BUSYMING-鸣鸣很忙上市之后:低毛利,真的能成为一门好生意吗? - Reportify