增速放缓，HOKA为何越跑“越慢”

Core Insights - HOKA, a brand under Deckers, has shown a net sales growth of 18.5% in Q3 of FY2026, but this growth rate is slowing compared to previous years where it exceeded 30% [1][3] - The competitive landscape in the running shoe market is intensifying, impacting HOKA's market share and growth potential [1][8] Financial Performance - Deckers reported a total net sales of $1.958 billion for Q3 FY2026, a year-over-year increase of 7.1% [3] - HOKA's net sales reached $628.9 million, marking an 18.5% increase compared to the previous year [3] - In FY2025, HOKA's net sales were $429.3 million, reflecting a 23.7% growth from the previous year [4] Market Dynamics - HOKA's growth is supported by product innovation and channel expansion, which have driven global demand [3] - The running shoe market is experiencing significant competition, with brands like Adidas and On running achieving higher growth rates [4][8] - The Chinese market is becoming a crucial driver for HOKA's international growth, with over 230 stores established [5][6] Consumer Trends - The running market in China is expanding rapidly, with a nearly 80% increase in sales of trail running shoes on major e-commerce platforms [6] - The trend of consumer upgrading in the sportswear sector is contributing to the growth of brands like HOKA, as consumers shift towards higher-priced products [7] Competitive Landscape - HOKA faces competition from both international brands like Nike and Adidas, as well as domestic brands such as Anta and Li Ning, which are also targeting the mid-to-high-end running shoe market [8][9] - The entry of new players and the expansion of existing brands are likely to fragment HOKA's market share [9]