美印贸易协议落地，特斯拉印度无关税减免

Core Viewpoint - The recent temporary trade agreement between the US and India has not provided the expected tariff reductions for Tesla, significantly hindering the company's plans to enter the Indian market, which is the world's third-largest passenger car market [2][4]. Group 1: Trade Agreement Details - The US and India have reached a temporary trade agreement that reduces tariffs on Indian goods from 50% to 18%, in exchange for India halting purchases of Russian oil [2]. - As part of the agreement, India has agreed to significantly lower tariffs on certain high-end American products, including reducing tariffs on high-end American cars (mainly large internal combustion engine models) from a maximum of 110% to 30% and eliminating tariffs on Harley-Davidson motorcycles [2][5]. Group 2: Impact on Tesla - Electric vehicles have been explicitly excluded from the tariff reductions, leaving Tesla without the anticipated benefits [4]. - Currently, India imposes high tariffs on imported electric vehicles, typically ranging from 70% to 100%, which severely limits Tesla's market penetration and pricing competitiveness [4]. - Tesla's performance in India has been disappointing, with only 227 vehicles registered in 2025, failing to sell even one-third of imported vehicles, leading to cancellations of early orders due to high prices [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The trade agreement favors traditional fuel high-end vehicles, particularly those with engine displacements over 3000cc, which will see tariffs gradually reduced to 30% over the next decade [5]. - In contrast, Tesla faces increasing pressure globally, with its sales declining for the second consecutive year in 2025, and BYD has overtaken it as the global leader in electric vehicle sales [7]. - The lack of tariff support in India suggests that Tesla will struggle to achieve scale through imports and may need to consider local production or alternative strategies to overcome barriers [7].