YTL(SZ:000960) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-22 10:37Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that three rare metal giants possess explosive potential that surpasses even the military industry, driven by their scarcity, policy support, and demand elasticity [1][20][32] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments forecast an average annual growth of about 5% in the non-ferrous metal industry from 2025 to 2026, listing 12 metals, including rare earths, tungsten, molybdenum, and tin, as strategic scarce resources [3][20] - China holds significant advantages in rare metals, with 36% of global rare earth reserves and over 90% of heavy rare earth supply, controlling the Baiyun Obo mine, which accounts for over 80% of national rare earth oxide reserves [3][20][26] Group 2 - Molybdenum is referred to as the "invisible heart" of the aerospace and military industries, with global annual production around 250,000 tons, 80% of which is used in high-temperature alloys and military components [7][8] - The price of molybdenum is projected to increase by 19.5% year-on-year by 2026, with full-year orders already booked, indicating strong demand [9][12] - Tin is identified as a critical metal for AI and photovoltaic applications, with a global supply-demand ratio of only 24 years, and China implementing export controls to restrict supply [13][15][18] Group 3 - The three companies discussed are recognized as industry leaders, with verified resource reserves, production capacity, and technological barriers [26][27][28] - The investment potential in rare metals is characterized by resource monopoly, policy protection, and increasing demand, suggesting a more stable and elastic price trajectory compared to military stocks [20][21][22] - The article concludes that as the market fully recognizes the value of these three giants, they are likely to experience significant price appreciation [32][35]