Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market has experienced significant volatility, with international silver prices dropping sharply and gold prices also retreating amid geopolitical tensions and market reactions to ongoing negotiations between Iran and the U.S. [1][2][3] Group 1: Precious Metals Market - On February 26, international silver prices fell sharply, with COMEX silver futures dropping over 5% and spot silver down more than 3% [2] - Gold prices also saw a slight decline, with COMEX gold futures dropping over 1% [2] - Despite recent volatility, several Wall Street institutions remain optimistic about the long-term upward trend of gold prices, viewing gold and silver as traditional safe-haven assets [1][6] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The ongoing indirect negotiations between Iran and the U.S. are focused on nuclear issues, with Iran expressing readiness to reach an agreement if the U.S. respects mutual interests [3][4] - The geopolitical landscape, including U.S. military presence in the Middle East and Iran's response to potential aggression, is influencing market sentiment and commodity prices [4][6] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the precious metals market will continue to experience volatility due to multiple factors, including geopolitical risks and market sentiment [6][7] - Morgan Stanley has raised its long-term gold price forecast to $4,500 per ounce, with a target of $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, citing gold's role as a hedge against currency devaluation [7] - Other institutions, such as Bank of America and ANZ, have also adjusted their gold and silver price forecasts upward, indicating potential for significant price movements in the coming years [8]
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