Group 1 - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) has underperformed compared to the broader market and AI peers since the initiation of coverage in May, where the stock was rated a Buy [1] - The investing group, The Aerospace Forum, focuses on identifying investment opportunities within the aerospace, defense, and airline sectors, leveraging data analytics for informed analysis [1] - The analyst behind the report has a background in aerospace engineering, providing context to industry developments and their potential impact on investment theses [1] Group 2 - The Aerospace Forum offers access to an in-house developed data analytics platform, evoX Data Analytics, to enhance investment research [1] - The analyst has no current stock or derivative positions in any of the companies mentioned and does not plan to initiate any positions in the near future [1]

Key TakeawaysThe Federal Reserve enacted a widely anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4%-4.25%. Markets showed a mixed reaction, with the S&P 500 dipping slightly and the dollar strengthening. The Fed signaled two more cuts are likely this year.Apple (AAPL) is reportedly testing foldable iPhones in Taiwan, aiming for a 10% boost in total phone shipments in 2026, with a preliminary target of producing around 95 million units. The company expects the foldable mod ...

Claire, >> Claire Jones, Financial Times. Um, given the range of views expressed prior to the meeting, I think there was a lot less descent today than a lot of people expected. It'd be good to know just what you think the drivers were of coming to that very strong consensus in the meeting and also on the flip side to just explain why the dot pot plots are really so scattered between you know someone even expecting rates to end up higher by the end of the year to to five cuts.I mean what were the kind of ran ...

Kash Patel Hours into his second day of contentious testimony in Congress, Kash Patel, the FBI director, sparked one of the more unusual stock rallies of the year. Most Read from Bloomberg Patel, who’s faced withering criticism from lawmakers in both the Senate and lower house, was pressed at one point on why he had purchased individual stocks while in office. Patel explained that he’s long liked to trade stocks and said that in this case he simply saw “good investment” opportunities in Krispy Kreme Inc. ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and indicated that two more cuts may occur later this year, which was described by Powell as a "risk management" move [2][6] - The market reaction was mixed, with the Dow closing higher while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced losses, reflecting confusion over the Fed's growth and inflation forecasts [3][6] - The domestic "Buy" cycle that began on November 21, 2023, ended on April 3, 2025, due to a market downturn caused by President Trump's tariff policy announcement, followed by a rebound leading to a new "Buy" signal effective May 20, 2025 [4][6] Group 2 - The International Trend Tracking Index (TTI) experienced volatility, issuing a "Sell" recommendation on April 4, 2025, but later regained momentum to issue a new "Buy" signal effective May 8, 2025 [5][8] - As of September 17, 2025, the Domestic TTI was +6.16% above its moving average, while the International TTI was +11.32% above its moving average, indicating positive market trends [7][8]

Can your retirement portfolio survive two more 2022-esque inflation waves? ...

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Pedestrians walk along Wall Street near the New York Stock Exchange. After sitting on the sidelines for most of the record-breaking run in US equities, small-capitalization stocks briefly joined in with the festivities and came close to ending a drought that dates back to the pandemic. Most Read from Bloomberg The Russell 2000 Index rose as much as 2.1% to 2,453.36 on Wednesday, surpassing the all-time closing high for the first time since November 2021, before paring some of the gains and pulling back f ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to initiate a series of interest rate cuts starting in 2025, with projections indicating a decline that may continue into the third quarter of 2026 [2][3][4] Interest Rate Cuts and Market Expectations - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has reduced the fed funds target rate by 0.25% to a range of 4% - 4.25% [3] - Financial markets anticipate a steady decline in the fed funds rate, potentially bottoming out just below 3% by the end of 2026 [4][10] Impact on Households - Lower interest rates will affect American households in two significant ways: reduced income from investments and lower payments on loans such as mortgages [5][6] - The average yield on money market funds is currently 4.08%, which is favorable compared to the inflation rate of 3.1% [7][8] Money Market Funds Outlook - As the Fed reduces interest rates, yields on money market funds are expected to decline, potentially falling below 3% by late 2026 [9][10] - The current inflow into money market funds, which exceeds $7.3 trillion, may reverse as yields decrease [8] Yield Curve Dynamics - An inverted yield curve has led to higher yields on short-term bonds compared to longer-term bonds, driving inflows into money market funds [11] - A return to a positively sloped yield curve is anticipated, making longer-term bonds more attractive as front-end rates decline [12][14] Mortgage Market Implications - Lower interest rates are expected to facilitate cheaper borrowing, particularly for mortgage refinancing, with average 30-year mortgage rates dipping below 6.5% [16][17] - Increased mortgage refinancing activity is anticipated as homeowners take advantage of lower rates, which are more closely correlated with the 10-year Treasury yield [17][18] Overall Economic Impact - The net effect of lower interest rates is viewed positively, as they provide cheaper borrowing costs while also reducing income from short-term investments [20][21] - The favorable environment for equities and other risk assets is also a significant consideration for investors [22]

Group 1 - The core observation is that individuals on GLP-1 drugs are reducing their overall calorie intake while simultaneously developing a heightened demand for protein due to muscle mass loss [1] Group 2 - The packaged-foods producer is responding to the changing dietary needs of consumers who are using GLP-1 medications [1]