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和黄医药:呋喹替尼欧盟获批上市,海外销售持续提速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][4] Core Insights - The company has received EU approval for FRUZAQLA® (furmonertinib), marking it as the first innovative targeted therapy approved for metastatic colorectal cancer in over a decade in the EU [3] - Furmonertinib shows significant efficacy advantages, with strong sales momentum in the US, generating over $50 million in sales in Q1 2024 alone [3][4] - The company has a robust pipeline with multiple upcoming catalysts, including potential approvals for various indications in 2024 [4] Summary by Sections Company Events - On June 22, the company announced that Takeda received EU approval for FRUZAQLA® for treating adult patients with metastatic colorectal cancer who have progressed after standard therapies [3] - Furmonertinib has a nearly 50% market share in China since its approval in 2018, and it is expected to gain further traction in international markets [3] Future Catalysts - The company anticipates continued strong sales of furmonertinib, with a Japanese market application submitted in September 2023 and expected approval in H2 2024 [4] - Other products in the pipeline include potential approvals for various cancer treatments, with significant revenue growth expected from these innovations [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company projects total revenue for its oncology/immunology business to be between $300 million to $400 million in 2024, driven by existing product sales and royalties [4] - Revenue estimates for 2024-2026 are $705 million, $912 million, and $1.185 billion respectively, with a calculated equity value of HKD 40.9 billion based on DCF analysis [4]