Bloomage Biotech(688363) 海通证券·2024-07-01 00:31Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [1] Core Views - The company is transitioning from a "three-pillar" model to a "four-wheel drive" model, establishing a comprehensive industrial chain from raw materials to functional skincare/health products and medical end products [9] - The company's raw material business continues to expand, with broad growth potential in product variety, customer base, and application scenarios [9] - The medical aesthetics business is reorganizing its product pipeline and building a multi-level product matrix [9] - The functional skincare business is shifting from extensive growth to refined operations [9] - The functional food business is opening up new growth opportunities [9] Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved revenue of 6.076 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.45%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 593 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.97% [4] - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.24%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 243 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.39% [4] - The company's gross profit margin in 2023 was 73.32%, a year-on-year decrease of 3.67 percentage points [5] - The company's operating cash flow in 2023 was 700 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.15% [4] Business Segments - Raw material business: Revenue in 2023 was 1.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.22%, accounting for 18.59% of total revenue [5] - Medical terminal business: Revenue in 2023 was 1.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.95%, accounting for 17.59% of total revenue [5] - Functional skincare business: Revenue in 2023 was 3.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.45%, accounting for 61.84% of total revenue [5] - Functional food business: Revenue in 2023 was 58 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.53% [5] Future Projections - Revenue is expected to reach 6.89 billion yuan in 2024, 7.847 billion yuan in 2025, and 8.799 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.4%, 13.9%, and 12.1% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 810 million yuan in 2024, 1.009 billion yuan in 2025, and 1.175 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.7%, 24.6%, and 16.4% respectively [6] Valuation - The company's overall market value is estimated to be between 31.1 billion yuan and 36 billion yuan, with a reasonable value range of 64.54 yuan to 74.69 yuan per share [10]