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嘉友国际:2024年中报业绩预告点评:Q2预计实现归母净利4.4-4.9亿元,同比增45%-62%,业绩超预期,上调盈利预测,持续强推

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [13][27]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.4 to 4.9 billion yuan in Q2 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 45% to 62%, which is above expectations [13][21]. - The growth is attributed to the booming trade between China and Mongolia, the development of cross-border logistics in Africa, and sustained growth in the Central Asian market [13][21]. - The company has a clear strategy for expanding its business in Africa and strengthening its core operations in the China-Mongolia region, enhancing its competitive edge [13][21]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company forecasts a net profit of 7.5 to 8 billion yuan for the first half, with a year-on-year growth of 48% to 58% [13][21]. - The report projects a total revenue of 10.454 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 49.4% [13][21]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.52 yuan in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12 [13][21]. Business Development Insights - The company has successfully established a competitive business model combining resources, trade, and logistics, which has improved its profitability [13][21]. - The report highlights the company's strategic partnerships and long-term agreements with major mining companies in Mongolia, which bolster its logistics capabilities [13][21]. - The expansion into the African market is supported by the establishment of infrastructure and logistics networks, enhancing the company's operational footprint [13][21].