福耀玻璃：业绩超预期，竞争力再获印证

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Fuyao Glass is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of HKD 47.50 for 3606 HK and RMB 51.68 for 600660 CH [1][2]. Core Views - The report highlights strong performance in 1H24, with revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company reaching RMB 183.4 billion and RMB 35.0 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 22.0% and 23.4% [3]. - The report emphasizes the company's competitive strength, driven by product innovation and cost control, which are key to sustaining growth amid market disruptions [3]. - The report maintains EPS forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 at RMB 2.65, RMB 2.97, and RMB 3.33, respectively, with target prices based on P/E ratios consistent with historical averages [3]. Financial Performance - For 2Q24, the company reported revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 95.0 billion and RMB 21.1 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 19.1% and 9.3% [4]. - The core net profit for 2Q24, after excluding foreign exchange impacts, was RMB 20.4 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 69.3%, with a core net profit margin of 21.4%, the highest since 2017 [4]. Market Developments - The report notes that the company’s subsidiary in the U.S. cooperated with a government investigation, clarifying that Fuyao Glass itself is not the target of the investigation [5]. - The Chinese government has introduced measures to support the replacement of old equipment and consumer goods, which is expected to boost demand for automotive glass in the domestic market [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Fuyao Glass are set to grow from RMB 39.97 billion in 2024E to RMB 51.18 billion in 2026E, with corresponding net profit estimates increasing from RMB 6.93 billion to RMB 8.69 billion [7][11]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in EPS from RMB 2.65 in 2024E to RMB 3.33 in 2026E, with a projected ROE of approximately 20% in the coming years [11].