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和黄医药:Fruquintinib 的海外销售表现出色
00013HUTCHMED(00013) 招银国际·2024-08-02 02:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 35.61, up from a previous target of HKD 34.31, indicating a potential upside of 20.9% from the current price of HKD 29.45 [3][4]. Core Insights - Hutchmed's oncology/immunology product revenue reached USD 128 million in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.6%, with USD 43 million coming from overseas sales. The total oncology/immunology revenue, including R&D services and Takeda collaboration, was USD 169 million, representing 48% of the FY24 guidance midpoint of USD 300-400 million [2]. - The strong sales performance of Fruquintinib in the U.S. market, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 53% to JPY 11.9 billion (approximately USD 80 million), exceeded expectations and reflects robust demand [2]. - The company is expected to maintain strong sales momentum for Fruquintinib and other products in global markets, with anticipated submissions for expanded indications in China [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E are USD 640 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.6%. Net profit is expected to be USD 35 million, with earnings per share projected at USD 0.04 [12][14]. - R&D expenses are forecasted to decrease to USD 224 million in FY24E, down from USD 302 million in FY23A [12][14]. - The company reported a strong cash position of USD 803 million as of June 2024, providing a solid foundation for future growth [2]. Product Pipeline and Market Position - Fruquintinib is expected to receive a CDE decision for its sNDA for 2L GC in Q3 2024, which could further enhance its market position in China [2]. - Savolitinib is anticipated to become the company's second globally commercialized product, with an NDA submission to the U.S. FDA expected by the end of 2024 [2]. - Sovleplenib shows potential as a best-in-class Syk inhibitor, with a high durable response rate in ITP, and is expected to enter the autoimmune disease market following NDA submission [2].