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海光信息:稀缺CPU+AI双料厂商,深算系列有望迎来质变突破

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 146.92 CNY, reflecting a potential upside of over 20% from the current price of 77.97 CNY [3][58]. Core Insights - The company, Haiguang Information, is positioned as a leading domestic high-end processor manufacturer, specializing in both CPU and DCU products, with a strong focus on R&D and product innovation [1][9]. - The domestic AI computing power gap is expected to widen, creating significant opportunities for Haiguang's products, particularly in the context of increasing demand for AI capabilities and the restrictions on foreign AI chips [2][51]. - The report highlights the rapid growth of the domestic "Xinchuang" (information technology application innovation) market, projected to exceed 200 billion CNY by 2026, with an annual growth rate of over 30% [1][35]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Haiguang Information was established in October 2014 and has since become a key player in the high-end processor market, focusing on CPU and DCU development [1][9]. - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix, including the 7000, 5000, and 3000 series CPUs, catering to various market segments from high-end servers to entry-level computing [12][19]. Market Potential - The Xinchuang market is characterized by low domestic product localization levels, indicating a significant opportunity for growth as the industry shifts towards self-sufficiency in core technologies [1][34]. - The report notes that the server market is expanding rapidly, with Haiguang's CPU products positioned to capture a larger share due to their compatibility with the x86 architecture [39][43]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 84.31 billion CNY in 2024, 113.82 billion CNY in 2025, and 149.38 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [2][59]. - The report anticipates a net profit of 17.02 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 29.12 billion CNY by 2026, supported by strong demand for AI computing solutions [2][59]. Competitive Position - Haiguang's products are noted for their compatibility with both domestic and international software ecosystems, enhancing their appeal in various sectors such as telecommunications, finance, and education [1][11]. - The company’s GPGPU products are designed to compete with leading international brands, providing a viable alternative in the AI chip market, especially in light of recent export restrictions on foreign chips [56][57].