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和黄医药:中报整体业绩符合预期,呋喹替尼海外销售超预期
00013HUTCHMED(00013) 华源证券·2024-08-04 05:31

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [3][6] Core Insights - The company's mid-year performance for 2024 met expectations, with significant growth in product sales and a strong cash position, indicating potential profitability by 2025 [3][5] - The core product, Furmonertinib, has exceeded sales expectations in overseas markets, contributing to a robust revenue outlook for the year [3][5] - The company has a rich pipeline of innovative products, with several key catalysts expected to drive future growth [3][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Events - On July 31, the company released its mid-year performance report for 2024, showing continued growth in product sales and a strong cash balance [3] Mid-Year Performance Insights - For the first half of 2024, total revenue reached 30.57million,withanetprofitof30.57 million, with a net profit of 2.58 million [5] - The oncology immunotherapy business generated 16.87millioninrevenue,withafullyearguidanceof16.87 million in revenue, with a full-year guidance of 30-40 million [5] - Furmonertinib's sales in the U.S. for the first half of 2024 were 13million,withexpectationsofover10013 million, with expectations of over 100% growth in the new fiscal year [3][5] Future Catalysts - Furmonertinib's overseas sales are expected to continue growing, with a submission for market approval in Japan anticipated in the second half of 2024 [3] - The company has several upcoming product approvals that could provide new revenue streams, including submissions for various indications in both domestic and international markets [3][5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company projects total revenue of 654 million, 871million,and871 million, and 1.121 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [5] - A discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis suggests a fair equity value of HKD 41.2 billion, based on a perpetual growth rate of 2% and a WACC of 8.94% [5]