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海外教育行业点评:好未来发布2025财年一季报:Q1收入利润好于预期,递延收入同比增长66%
TALTAL(TAL) 民生证券·2024-08-04 23:31

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for TAL Education Group (TAL N) [3] Core Views - TAL Education Group reported better-than-expected Q1 FY2025 results with net revenue of 414million,a504414 million, a 50 4% YoY increase, surpassing market expectations of 396 million [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit turned positive at 088million,comparedtoamarketexpectationofa0 88 million, compared to a market expectation of a 27 7 million loss [2] - Deferred revenue grew by 66% YoY to 642million,indicatingstrongbusinessmomentum[2]Thecompanysofflinesmallclassliteracybusinessremainstheprimaryrevenuedriver,withstableretentionandutilizationrates[2]TALEducationGroupisexpandingitsofflineteachingcenters,with50100newcentersopenedinQ1FY2025,bringingthetotaltoover400,anear100642 million, indicating strong business momentum [2] - The company's offline small-class literacy business remains the primary revenue driver, with stable retention and utilization rates [2] - TAL Education Group is expanding its offline teaching centers, with 50-100 new centers opened in Q1 FY2025, bringing the total to over 400, a near 100% YoY increase [2] - The company continues to upgrade its learning machine product line, with the launch of the "Xueersi Learning Machine Classic Edition 2024" in May 2024 [2] Financial Performance - Q1 FY2025 net income was 414 million, a 50 4% YoY increase [2] - Operating loss narrowed by 70% YoY to 1733million[2]NonGAAPoperatingprofitwas17 33 million [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit was 0 88 million, turning positive from a loss in the previous year [2] - Net income attributable to shareholders was 114million,turningpositivefromalossinthepreviousyear[2]NonGAAPnetincomeattributabletoshareholderswas11 4 million, turning positive from a loss in the previous year [2] - Non-GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was 29 61 million, turning positive from a loss in the previous year [2] - Gross margin improved by 2 4 percentage points YoY to 51 7% [2] - Sales expenses increased by 25 4% YoY to 122million,butthesalesexpenseratiodecreasedby59percentagepointsto296122 million, but the sales expense ratio decreased by 5 9 percentage points to 29 6% [2] - Management expenses increased by 4 5% YoY to 110 million, with the management expense ratio decreasing by 11 6 percentage points to 26 5% [2] - Share-based compensation expenses decreased by 28 6% YoY to 1821million,accountingfor4418 21 million, accounting for 4 4% of revenue, down 4 9 percentage points YoY [2] Business Expansion and Product Development - TAL Education Group is actively expanding its offline teaching centers, with 50-100 new centers opened in Q1 FY2025, bringing the total to over 400, a near 100% YoY increase [2] - The company continues to upgrade its learning machine product line, with the launch of the "Xueersi Learning Machine Classic Edition 2024" in May 2024 [2] - The learning machine product line now includes two series and four models, covering different price points and customer needs [2] Industry Outlook - The domestic education and training industry is benefiting from clearer and more stable policies, which are favorable for the long-term healthy development of compliant companies [2] - The industry is experiencing rapid growth in both revenue and capacity, with a positive outlook for the sector [2] - TAL Education Group, as a leader in K12 education and training, has shown effective transformation towards quality education and technology post the "Double Reduction" policy, with core education and training business recovering and growing under the drive of quality education [2] Valuation and Earnings Forecast - TAL Education Group's EPS for FY2025E is forecasted at 0 23, with a PE ratio of 37x [3] - For FY2026E, the EPS is forecasted at $0 47, with a PE ratio of 18x [3]