GANYUAN FOODS CO.(SZ:002991) Huajin Securities·2024-08-06 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate - A" [1][2] Core Views - The company reported a 26.14% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2024, reaching 1.04 billion yuan, and a 39.26% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 167 million yuan [1] - The company is focusing on optimizing its channel layout and expanding into overseas markets, with a notable increase in revenue from e-commerce and other sales channels [1][2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10.92 yuan per 10 shares, with a payout ratio of 60.07%, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [1] Revenue Analysis - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.042 billion yuan, with Q1 growth at 49.75% and Q2 slowing to 4.90% due to seasonal factors and channel adjustments [1] - The revenue from the core product lines, including sunflower seeds and green peas, showed steady growth, with the sunflower seed series generating 138 million yuan (+12.76%) and the green pea series 238 million yuan (+16.87%) [1] - The company is actively enhancing its e-commerce capabilities and expanding its product offerings to adapt to online sales [1][2] Profit Analysis - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 34.94%, a slight decrease of 0.66 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 16.49% due to tax benefits [2] - The company expects to maintain a net profit growth trajectory, with projections for 2024-2026 showing a compound annual growth rate of 16.7%, 26.4%, and 20.4% respectively [2][3] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected revenue for 2024 is adjusted to 2.339 billion yuan, with net profit expected to reach 384 million yuan [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 4.12 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.5 [3] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 20.6% in 2024, indicating strong profitability [3]