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蔚蓝锂芯:业绩符合预期,利润率继续修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][4][18] Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 3.06 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 167 million yuan, up 301.7% year-on-year [4][8] - The lithium battery business saw a revenue increase of approximately 1.11 billion yuan, up 78.71% year-on-year, benefiting from a recovery in the downstream application market [3][4] - The company is expected to experience stable performance due to the recovery of orders and a decrease in lithium carbonate prices, although revenue growth is anticipated to be lower than shipment growth [2][3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are adjusted to 6.669 billion yuan, 7.685 billion yuan, and 8.680 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 434 million yuan, 590 million yuan, and 689 million yuan [2][4] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 16.4% in 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) projected at 6.3% [2][4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.38 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.60 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2][4]