帕卡：通胀红利褪去，利润回归正常

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in profitability due to the fading pandemic benefits, with a 1.2% year-over-year decrease in revenue to $8.8 billion and an 8.1% drop in net profit to $1.12 billion in Q2 2024 [2][3]. - Truck deliveries decreased by 6.7% year-over-year to 48,400 units, while truck sales revenue fell by 3.7% to $6.58 billion [2][3]. - The company has lowered its industry sales guidance for North America and Canada to 240,000-280,000 units, down from the previous forecast of 250,000-290,000 units, marking the second downward revision this year [2][4]. - Despite the overall industry decline, the company has managed to increase its market share in North America from 27.7% to 31.5% year-over-year [2][3]. Market Data - As of August 5, 2024, the closing price is $91.93, with a total market capitalization of $48.192 billion and total assets of $41.177 billion [1]. - The company’s net assets stand at $17.703 billion, with a book value per share of $33.79 [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 18% in Q2 2024, the lowest since 2023, and has guided for a further decline to 17% in Q3 2024 [2][3]. - The parts business saw a revenue increase of 4.1% to $1.66 billion, with a gross margin of 30.3% [2][3]. - The forecast for global industry sales in 2024 is a decline of 13.3% compared to 2023, with total expected sales of 605,000 to 695,000 units [2][4].