FYG,FUYAO GLASS(600660) 国海证券·2024-08-09 03:30Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [1] Core Views - Strong Q2 2024 performance with record-high revenue and profit [2] - Revenue growth driven by increased market share, higher ASP, and larger vehicle glass area [5] - Profit growth expected to outpace revenue growth due to low raw material costs and new capacity [5] Financial Performance Revenue - H1 2024 revenue: RMB 18.34 billion, +22.01% YoY [2] - Q2 2024 revenue: RMB 9.504 billion, +19.1% YoY, +7.6% QoQ, a historical high [3] - High-value-added products accounted for +4.82 pct YoY in H1 2024 [3] Profit - H1 2024 net profit: RMB 3.499 billion, +23.35% YoY [2] - Q2 2024 net profit: RMB 2.111 billion, +9.8% YoY, +52.1% QoQ [4] - Q2 2024 gross margin: 37.73%, +2.76 pct YoY, +0.91 pct QoQ [4] - Q2 2024 net margin: 22.24%, -1.85 pct YoY, +6.53 pct QoQ [4] US Factory Performance - H1 2024 US factory revenue: RMB 3.211 billion, +26% YoY [4] - H1 2024 US factory net profit: RMB 387 million, +104% YoY [4] - H1 2024 US factory net margin: 12.05%, +4.58 pct YoY [4] Forecasts Revenue - 2024E revenue: RMB 39.825 billion, +20% YoY [5] - 2025E revenue: RMB 47.221 billion, +19% YoY [5] - 2026E revenue: RMB 55.754 billion, +18% YoY [5] Net Profit - 2024E net profit: RMB 7.473 billion, +33% YoY [5] - 2025E net profit: RMB 8.548 billion, +14% YoY [5] - 2026E net profit: RMB 9.706 billion, +14% YoY [5] Valuation - 2024E P/E: 15.76x [5] - 2025E P/E: 13.78x [5] - 2026E P/E: 12.14x [5] Key Drivers - Increased market share globally [5] - Higher ASP and larger vehicle glass area [5] - Low raw material costs (soda ash and natural gas) [5] - New capacity expected to come online post-2025 [5]