Lakala(300773) 国泰君安·2024-08-11 04:48Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price adjusted to 21.60 RMB, corresponding to a 20x P/E for 2024 [4][5] Core Views - The company's payment market share has increased due to improved competitive landscape, leading to higher net fee rates and driving performance growth [3][4] - The company initiated an interim dividend with an attractive dividend yield, supporting continued optimism for its growth and future dividend payouts [4] - The payment business grew by 3.67% YoY in H1 2024, contributing significantly to revenue growth, with transaction volume reaching 2.15 trillion RMB, despite a 5.29% YoY decline [4] - The net fee rate for payment services increased to 0.1225%, up by 1 basis point YoY, with Q2 2024 seeing a further rise to 0.1268% [4] - The company's cross-border payment business has served over 90,000 merchants, focusing on B2B foreign trade and providing tailored solutions for Chinese brands going global [4] Financial Performance - H1 2024 revenue reached 2.982 billion RMB, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 419 million RMB, down 17.98% YoY, while non-GAAP net profit increased by 45.86% YoY to 412 million RMB [4] - Adjusted EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are 1.08, 1.22, and 1.36 RMB, respectively, reflecting a downward revision from previous estimates [4] - The company's gross margin for payment services improved to 30.2%, up 2.7 percentage points YoY [4] - Interim dividend payout for H1 2024 was 320 million RMB, representing 78% of non-GAAP net profit, with a semi-annual dividend yield of 3.4% [4] Market and Valuation - The company's total market capitalization stands at 9.52 billion RMB, with a current share price of 11.90 RMB [5][6] - The 52-week price range is between 11.36 and 20.57 RMB [6] - The company's P/E ratio for 2024 is projected at 11.00, with a P/B ratio of 2.43 [10] Industry and Competitive Landscape - The company benefits from an improved competitive environment in the offline payment market, leading to higher fee rates and market share [4] - The company's "payment+" industry solutions and open platform have expanded revenue sources by addressing diverse customer needs such as收款, 分账, 订单, 报表, and 营销 [4]