Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic automotive aftermarket, actively expanding into the new energy sector [2] - The automotive service market in China is projected to grow significantly, with an expected market size of 1.93 trillion yuan by 2027, driven by increasing vehicle ownership and aging vehicles [2][18] - The company has established an integrated online and offline service platform, leading the industry in store count with 5,909 stores as of December 31, 2023 [2][7] - The company aims to expand its presence in lower-tier cities, with a target of reaching 8,909 stores by 2026 [2][34] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 700 million, 1.09 billion, and 1.56 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17.26, 11.08, and 7.75 [2] Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Automotive Service Platform - The company has developed a comprehensive online and offline automotive service platform, expanding its product and service offerings since its inception in 2011 [7] - The platform connects vehicle owners, suppliers, and service stores, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [7][21] 2. Automotive Service Market Potential - The automotive service market in China reached 1.24 trillion yuan in 2022, with a CAGR of 10.1% from 2018 to 2022, and is expected to grow to 1.93 trillion yuan by 2027 [18] - The increase in vehicle ownership and average vehicle age is driving demand for automotive services, with the average age of vehicles projected to reach 8 years by 2027 [15][16] 3. Business Model and Growth - The company’s business model creates a positive feedback loop, enhancing user experience and driving growth through increased customer traffic and store expansion [30] - The number of registered users reached 115 million by the end of 2023, with a transaction user base of over 19.3 million, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth [31] - The company plans to continue expanding its store network, particularly in lower-tier cities, to capture a larger market share [34] 4. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 14.64 billion, 16.20 billion, and 17.95 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3] - The company’s gross margin has been improving, reaching 24.7% in 2023, driven by a higher proportion of automotive maintenance services [12][13]
途虎-W:国内汽车后市场领军者,积极布局新能源业务