Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [2] Core Views - Revenue for 2Q24 reached RMB 7.16 billion (yoy -1.7%), slightly above Bloomberg consensus of RMB 7.13 billion [2] - Gross profit increased by 20.5% yoy to RMB 3.01 billion, with gross margin rising to 42.0% (yoy +7.7pct) [2] - Adjusted net profit grew by 26% yoy to RMB 1.99 billion, surpassing Bloomberg consensus of RMB 1.83 billion [2] - Online music revenue grew by 27.7% yoy to RMB 5.42 billion, accounting for 75.8% of total revenue [2] - Social entertainment revenue declined by 42.8% yoy to RMB 1.74 billion, with a slowdown in the rate of decline compared to previous quarters [2] - Operating profit surged by 42.8% yoy to RMB 2.2 billion, driven by effective cost management and expense control [2] - The company is focusing on developing its SVIP super membership, which is expected to drive ARPPU growth in the medium to long term [2] Financial Performance Summary Revenue and Profit - 2Q24 revenue: RMB 7.16 billion (yoy -1.7%) [2] - 2Q24 gross profit: RMB 3.01 billion (yoy +20.5%) [2] - 2Q24 adjusted net profit: RMB 1.99 billion (yoy +26%) [2] - 2Q24 adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders: RMB 1.87 billion (yoy +22.5%) [2] Online Music Business - Online music revenue: RMB 5.42 billion (yoy +27.7%) [2] - Subscription revenue: RMB 3.74 billion (yoy +29.4%) [2] - Paid subscribers: 117 million, with a net increase of 3.5 million qoq [2] - Subscription ARPPU: RMB 10.7 (yoy +10.3%) [2] Social Entertainment Business - Social entertainment revenue: RMB 1.74 billion (yoy -42.8%) [2] - Social entertainment ARPPU: RMB 73.2 (yoy -45.8%) [2] Cost and Expense Management - Operating costs decreased by 13.3% yoy to RMB 4.15 billion [2] - Total expenses decreased by 8.5% yoy to RMB 1.15 billion [2] - Management expenses decreased by 10.2% yoy to RMB 938 million [2] Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are slightly revised downward to RMB 28.4 billion, RMB 30.9 billion, and RMB 32.5 billion, respectively [2] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow steadily, with forecasts maintained for 2024-2026 [2] - The company's focus on SVIP development is expected to drive ARPPU growth and enhance subscription business performance [2] Market Data - Current price: USD 11.12 [4] - Total market capitalization: USD 19.1 billion [5] - 52-week price range: USD 5.7 - USD 15.77 [5] - 3-month turnover rate: 90.2% [5] Financial Projections Income Statement - 2024E revenue: RMB 28.406 billion [6] - 2025E revenue: RMB 30.924 billion [6] - 2026E revenue: RMB 32.466 billion [6] - 2024E adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders: RMB 7.357 billion [6] - 2025E adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders: RMB 8.4 billion [6] - 2026E adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders: RMB 9.367 billion [6] Balance Sheet - 2024E total assets: RMB 82.195 billion [6] - 2025E total assets: RMB 90.889 billion [6] - 2026E total assets: RMB 100.483 billion [6] Cash Flow - 2024E operating cash flow: RMB 8.356 billion [6] - 2025E operating cash flow: RMB 8.86 billion [6] - 2026E operating cash flow: RMB 9.729 billion [6]
腾讯音乐：24Q2业绩点评：业绩基本符合预期，关注SVIP用户开拓进展