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Coinbase Global Inc-A:公司动态研究:交易环比下滑/币值波动拖累Q2业绩兑现,合规化大潮提升公司行业地位
COINCoinbase(COIN) 国海证券·2024-08-15 01:09

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A (COIN) [1] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q2 was impacted by a decline in trading volume and currency fluctuations, but the trend towards compliance is enhancing its industry position [1] - Subscription and service revenues showed significant growth, with H1 2024 revenues reaching 1.11billion,up591.11 billion, up 59% year-over-year, driven by stablecoin and blockchain rewards [1][2] - Trading revenues also saw a substantial increase, with H1 2024 revenues of 1.86 billion, up 164.69% year-over-year, primarily from retail clients [2] - The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs is expected to create a "flywheel effect," boosting trading volumes and revenues [2][3] - The regulatory environment in the U.S. is becoming more favorable for cryptocurrencies, which may accelerate the compliance process and enhance Coinbase's market position [3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Coinbase from 2024 to 2026 are 6.64billion,6.64 billion, 10.27 billion, and 12.01billionrespectively,withnetprofitsof12.01 billion respectively, with net profits of 2.40 billion, 3.99billion,and3.99 billion, and 4.84 billion [4][5] - The expected EPS for the same period is 9.67,9.67, 16.07, and $19.53, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.84, 11.93, and 9.82 [4][5] - The company is projected to experience a significant increase in revenue growth rates, with 113.50% in 2024 and 54.73% in 2025 [5][6]