兴通股份：半年业绩兑现，外贸弹性初显

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.13 CNY per share, compared to the current price of 14.39 CNY [4][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 772 million CNY for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 180 million CNY, up 31.56% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 179 million CNY, an increase of 33.36% year-on-year. In Q2 2024 alone, revenue reached 387 million CNY, a 35.35% increase year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 103 million CNY, up 71.31% year-on-year [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 772 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 23.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 180 million CNY, reflecting a 31.56% increase year-on-year. The second quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 387 million CNY, a 35.35% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 103 million CNY, up 71.31% year-on-year [2][3]. Business Structure and Growth - The company optimized its business structure, with self-owned vessel charter income and time charter income increasing by 35.60% and 46.82% year-on-year, respectively. However, income from chartering externally owned vessels decreased by 69.08% year-on-year. The gross margin improved by 2.17 percentage points year-on-year due to this optimization. The overseas revenue reached 292 million CNY, a significant increase of 112.37% year-on-year, indicating strong growth in foreign trade [2][3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in domestic trade while expanding its foreign trade operations. Two vessels with a total deadweight of 11,200 tons are planned to be operational in Q3 2024, and two additional vessels of 13,000 tons are scheduled for delivery in 2025. The rapid expansion of capacity positions the company to benefit from the upward cycle in the market [2][3]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 1.28 CNY, 1.47 CNY, and 1.79 CNY, respectively. The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 26%, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15 times for 2024 is applied, leading to a reasonable value of 19.13 CNY per share [2][3].