Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 3.47 [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 8.7% and 6.3% YoY respectively in H1 2024, but the revenue grew by 17.56% YoY after excluding the impact of Youyuan Environment [1] - The company's EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are maintained at RMB 0.10, RMB 0.13, and RMB 0.17 respectively [1] - The company's PEG ratio for 2024 is set at 0.56x, lower than the industry average of 0.61x, reflecting uncertainties in the company's transformation and short-term business adjustments [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company's revenue from clean air and high-efficiency energy-saving businesses were RMB 314 million (-41.32% YoY) and RMB 400 million (+49.01% YoY) respectively [2] - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 22.90%, a decrease of 1.22 percentage points YoY, with clean air and high-efficiency energy-saving businesses contributing gross margins of 33.17% and 14.52% respectively [2] - The company's net profit margin in H1 2024 was 10.15%, up 0.26 percentage points YoY, with Q2 net profit margin at 10.7% [3] - The company's operating cash flow improved significantly, with H1 2024 operating cash flow reaching RMB 77 million, a 40.21% increase YoY [3] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of RMB 0.30 per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 40.25% [4] Historical and Forecasted Financials - The company's revenue is expected to grow from RMB 1,662 million in 2024E to RMB 2,153 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 14.79% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from RMB 98.02 million in 2024E to RMB 170.11 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 27.46% [5] - The company's ROE is projected to improve from 4.41% in 2024E to 6.95% in 2026E [5] Valuation Metrics - The company's PE ratio is expected to decrease from 28.25x in 2024E to 16.28x in 2026E, while the PB ratio is forecasted to decline from 1.22x in 2024E to 1.11x in 2026E [5] - The EV/EBITDA ratio is projected to decrease from 11.95x in 2024E to 8.36x in 2026E [5]
再升科技:收入同口径增长,中期分红显回报
ZAISHENG TECHNOLOGY(603601) 华泰证券·2024-08-16 01:43