Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company focuses on the production and sales of products such as soda ash and sodium bicarbonate using natural soda methods, with significant performance contributions from the Alashan project [3][4]. - The company has a substantial cost advantage in producing soda ash through natural soda methods, which is the most cost-effective production process compared to other methods [3][4]. - The Alashan natural soda project is gradually ramping up production, contributing to revenue growth [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company is engaged in the production of soda ash, sodium bicarbonate, and coal-based urea, with leading production and sales volumes in the industry [3]. - The company has a production capacity of 5.8 million tons/year for soda ash, 1.5 million tons/year for sodium bicarbonate, and 1.54 million tons/year for urea [3]. Project Development - The Alashan natural soda project plans to build a soda ash capacity of 7.8 million tons/year and sodium bicarbonate capacity of 800,000 tons/year, with the first phase already in production [3]. - The first phase of the project began trial production in June 2023, with multiple production lines reaching full capacity [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 7.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.0%, and a net profit of 1.21 billion yuan, up 14.9% year-on-year [3]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2024 was 44.35%, an increase of 7.7 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 2.579 billion, 2.719 billion, and 3.219 billion yuan, respectively [4][5]. Cost Structure - The average production costs for soda ash using different methods in 2023 were 1,637 yuan/ton for the ammonia-soda method, 1,732 yuan/ton for the limestone-soda method, and 895 yuan/ton for the natural soda method, highlighting the cost advantage of the latter [3].
远兴能源:天然碱成本优势显著,阿拉善项目贡献业绩增长