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西藏药业:上半年业绩稳健符合预期,继续大比例现金分红

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tibet Pharmaceutical (600211.SH) [2] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.615 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 11.29%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.57% to 623 million yuan [4][5] - The sales of the main product, Xinhuasu, reached 4.1837 million units with a revenue of 1.45 billion yuan, down 13.93% year-on-year, primarily due to a 4.5% decrease in medical insurance prices starting in 2024 [4][5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 9.67 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 312 million yuan, with a payout ratio of 50.02% [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 1.615 billion yuan, down from 1.820 billion yuan in the same period last year, reflecting an 11.29% decline [4][7] - The net profit for the same period was 623 million yuan, an increase of 4.57% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 524 million yuan, down 9.85% [4][7] - The second quarter of 2024 saw a total revenue of 910 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.31% year-on-year, with a net profit of 310 million yuan, up 5.98% [4][7] Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve a total revenue of 3.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a target net profit of around 1 billion yuan [5] - The expansion of Xinhuasu production capacity is expected to reach an annual output of 15 million units, with the production line already passing GMP compliance checks [5] - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are estimated at 3.44 billion yuan, 4.07 billion yuan, and 4.83 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.025 billion yuan, 1.215 billion yuan, and 1.464 billion yuan, indicating a growth rate of 28%, 18.6%, and 20.4% respectively [5][8]