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迎驾贡酒:2024年中报点评:24Q2业绩超预期,洞藏放量势能延续

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a current price of 50.72 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q2 2024, with revenue of 1.46 billion CNY, up 19.0% year-on-year, and net profit of 470 million CNY, up 28.0% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The growth is attributed to the continued momentum of the "Dongcang" brand, with significant increases in both domestic and regional markets [2]. - The company's gross margin improved to 71.1%, driven by the product mix optimization as the "Dongcang" series gained market share [2]. - Future earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.60 CNY, 4.38 CNY, and 5.28 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.79 billion CNY, a 20.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.38 billion CNY, a 29.6% increase year-on-year [2]. - Q2 2024 revenue and profit both exceeded market expectations, with significant contributions from the "Dongcang" series [2]. Product and Market Dynamics - The "Dongcang" series saw a revenue increase of 24.9% in Q2 2024, with notable growth in the "Dong 6/9/16" products [2]. - The company experienced a 22.9% revenue growth in the domestic market and a 15.3% growth in the external market in Q2 2024, showing improved performance compared to Q1 2024 [2]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The gross margin increased by 0.6 percentage points to 71.1% in Q2 2024, while the net profit margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 32.0% [2]. - Cash flow from sales in Q2 2024 was 1.56 billion CNY, a 12.7% increase year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the "Dongcang" brand's growth and regional expansion, with a clear path for product upgrades [2]. - The projected EPS growth reflects the company's strong earnings potential, with dynamic price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 12, and 10 for the next three years [2].