Anjoy food(603345) 海通证券·2024-08-21 00:39Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's revenue in 24Q2 increased by 2.31% YoY, with H1 revenue reaching 7.544 billion yuan, up 9.42% YoY [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company in 24Q2 was 364 million yuan, a decrease of 2.51% YoY, while H1 net profit was 803 million yuan, up 9.17% YoY [3] - The company's gross margin in 24Q2 increased by 1.44 percentage points YoY, reaching 21.29% [3] - The company's new retail channel revenue in 24Q2 grew by 43.26% YoY, driven by increased investment in emerging channels such as interest-based e-commerce and instant retail [4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue in 24H1 was 7.544 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 23.91%, up 1.81 percentage points YoY [3] - The company's adjusted net profit margin in 24H1 was 10.23%, up 0.16 percentage points YoY [3] - The company's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 5.56, 6.67, and 7.46 yuan, respectively [4] - The company's revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 15.195 billion, 17.319 billion, and 19.448 billion yuan, with YoY growth rates of 8.2%, 14.0%, and 12.3%, respectively [5] Business Segments - In 24Q2, the company's seasoning food segment revenue grew by 13.6% YoY, reaching 1.775 billion yuan, while the rice and noodle segment revenue declined by 1.44% YoY [3] - The company's new products, such as volcanic stone grilled sausages, are expected to perform well in the market, supported by the company's focus on self-built grilling channels [3] - The company's seasoning food segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% over the next three years, with gross margins projected to increase from 29.82% in 2024 to 30.22% in 2026 [6][7] Valuation and Forecast - The company's 2024 PE ratio is estimated to be in the range of 20-25X, with a target price range of 111.2-139 yuan [4] - The company's net profit for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 1.632 billion, 1.955 billion, and 2.188 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company's gross margin is expected to increase from 24.6% in 2024 to 25.0% in 2026, driven by improved product mix and economies of scale [5][6] Market Performance - The company's stock price closed at 73.65 yuan on August 20, with a 52-week range of 68.57-140.50 yuan [1] - The company's total market capitalization is 21.601 billion yuan, with a fully diluted EPS of 5.04 yuan in 2023 [1][5]