Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating for Huarun Construction Materials Technology (1313) [2][4] Core Views - The company's cement business shows resilience with stable profitability at the bottom, and the price recovery in Guangdong and Guangxi regions is expected to boost price and profit expectations for the second half of 2024 [4] - The aggregate business continues to grow rapidly, with accelerated capacity release, contributing to a new profit growth point [4] - The company's cement shipments outperformed the industry, with a 2% year-on-year decline in H1 2024, compared to a 10% decline in national cement production [5] - Cement profitability may have bottomed out, with a slight recovery in Q2 2024, and the implementation of price recovery in Guangdong and Guangxi is expected to support profit recovery in Q3 2024 [5] - The aggregate business maintained high growth, with shipments increasing by 107% year-on-year in H1 2024, and the company's aggregate capacity is expected to reach 136 million tons after the release of under-construction capacity [5] Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 10.312 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 13.9%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 166 million, a year-on-year decrease of 70.2% [5] - In Q2 2024, the company's revenue was RMB 5.467 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 195 million, in line with previous forecasts [5] - The average price of cement and clinker in H1 2024 was RMB 238 per ton, with a cost of RMB 210 per ton, resulting in a gross profit of RMB 29 per ton [5] - The aggregate business achieved shipments of 29.5 million tons in H1 2024, with an average price of RMB 36.8 per ton and a gross profit of RMB 14.5 per ton [5] Market Data - The current stock price is HKD 1.56, with a 52-week range of HKD 1.05 to HKD 2.74 [6] - The current market capitalization is HKD 10.893 billion, with 6.983 billion shares outstanding [6] Historical Financial Summary - Revenue in 2021 was HKD 43.963 billion, decreasing to HKD 26.894 billion in 2024E [7] - Net profit in 2021 was HKD 7.767 billion, decreasing to HKD 1.002 billion in 2024E [7] - The PE ratio is expected to decrease from 15.34 in 2023 to 10.87 in 2024E [7]
华润建材科技2024年中报点评：水泥盈利底部企稳，两广复价预期乐观