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裕元集团:公司半年报点评:24Q2制造产能利用率进一步提升,净利润增157.8%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit growth in Q2 2024, with net profit increasing by 157.8% to 80million,despiteaslightrevenuedeclineof1.780 million, despite a slight revenue decline of 1.7% to 2.01 billion [4] - The manufacturing capacity utilization rate has improved to 92%, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued profit growth in the second half of 2024 [4] - The retail segment has experienced a revenue decline of 10.5% to 4.58billion,buteffectivecostcontrolmeasureshaveledtoagrossmarginincreaseof2percentagepointsto35.44.58 billion, but effective cost control measures have led to a gross margin increase of 2 percentage points to 35.4% [5] - The expected dividend yield for 2024 is projected to reach 9.6%, reflecting a strong return for shareholders [5] - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are 367 million, 406million,and406 million, and 449 million respectively, with a price-to-earnings (PE) valuation of 10-12 times for 2024 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2024 revenue decreased by 1.7% to 2.01billion,whilegrossmarginslightlyincreasedto23.52.01 billion, while gross margin slightly increased to 23.5% [4] - The net profit margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 4.2% [4] - Manufacturing revenue increased by 4.7% to 1.38 billion, with a net profit margin of 5.1% [4] - Retail revenue decreased by 10.5% to 4.58billion,withanetprofitmarginof3.54.58 billion, with a net profit margin of 3.5% [5] Profitability and Forecasts - The company expects net profits of 367 million in 2024, with a growth rate of 34% year-over-year [6] - The gross margin is projected to improve to 25.19% in 2024, indicating better cost management [6] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is $0.23, with a projected dividend of 0.90 HKD [8] Valuation - The estimated fair value range for the stock is between 17.82 and 21.38 HKD per share based on a PE ratio of 10-12 times for 2024 [5] - The average PE ratio for comparable companies is around 20.04 for 2023 [7] Market Comparison - The company's stock has shown a relative performance of -8.8% over the past month compared to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The stock's price has fluctuated between 6.98 and 16.18 HKD over the past year [1]