舜宇光学科技：光学升规升配，看好盈利改善

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - Sunny Optical Technology (02382 HK) reported strong H1 2024 performance with revenue reaching RMB 18 86 billion, a 32% YoY increase [3] - Gross margin improved by 2 3pct YoY and 3 1pct QoQ to 17 2%, driven by product specification upgrades and increased production capacity utilization [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders surged 147% YoY to RMB 1 079 billion, with a net profit margin of 5 7%, up 2 7pct YoY and 1 9pct QoQ [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the trend of optical specification upgrades, with further improvements in profitability anticipated for H2 2024 and 2025 [3] - The target market cap is set at HKD 69 2 billion, with a target price of HKD 63, corresponding to 20X 2025 P/E [4] Business Segments Mobile Optics - Mobile-related products revenue grew 34 5% YoY to RMB 13 billion, accounting for 69% of total revenue [3] - Shipments of 6P and above lenses increased by 23% YoY, with high-end product structure further improving [3] - Large image sensor and periscope module shipments grew 66 5% YoY to 15 02 million units [3] - Expected mobile lens gross margin for H2 2024 is 20%-25%, and mobile module gross margin is 6%-10% [3] Automotive Optics - Automotive-related products revenue increased 16 4% YoY to RMB 2 9 billion, accounting for 15 3% of total revenue [4] - Automotive lens shipments grew 13% YoY to 53 23 million units, with full-year shipment growth expected at 10%-15% [4] - The company maintains a leading position in the 8MP automotive module market, with 8MP COB module shipments leading the industry [4] - Multiple LiDAR product projects have been secured, and the PGU based on HUD chip development has received domestic customer orders, with mass production expected in H2 2024 [4] Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected at RMB 38 9/42 4/44 5 billion, with YoY growth of +23%/+9%/+5% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is projected at RMB 2 2/3 2/3 5 billion, with YoY growth of +100%/+44%/+10% [4] - Gross margin is expected to improve from 14 5% in 2023 to 20 3% in 2026 [9] - ROE is projected to increase from 5 0% in 2023 to 11 6% in 2026 [5] Valuation Metrics - P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are projected at 22 5X/15 6X/14 2X [5] - P/S ratios for 2024-2026 are projected at 1 3X/1 2X/1 1X [5] - ROIC is expected to increase from 6 1% in 2023 to 11 6% in 2026 [8]