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固生堂:2024半年报点评:业绩高速增长,门店快速扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the market benchmark within the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.37 billion RMB for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 107 million RMB, up 15.1% [2][3]. - The offline medical institutions generated 1.23 billion RMB in revenue, reflecting a 43.7% increase, driven by new acquisitions and growth in existing institutions [3]. - The company has expanded its operational footprint, owning and operating 71 medical institutions as of June 30, 2024, an increase of 15 from the end of 2023 [5]. Financial Analysis - The company achieved a gross margin of 29.4%, a year-on-year increase of 0.7 percentage points, and a net profit margin of 7.8% [4]. - The sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and financial expense ratio were 11.7%, 8.1%, and 0.6%, respectively, with minor changes compared to the previous year [4]. - The adjusted net profit margin improved to 10.8%, an increase of 0.51 percentage points [4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.99 billion RMB, 3.89 billion RMB, and 4.97 billion RMB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is adjusted to 329 million RMB, 447 million RMB, and 585 million RMB for the same years [6]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned as a leading player in the Chinese traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) healthcare service industry, benefiting from strong demand and supportive policies [6]. - The company's business model demonstrates significant replicability, with advantages in brand, talent, and resources, indicating substantial long-term growth potential [6].