CITIC Steel(000708) 国泰君安·2024-08-22 22:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2024 was slightly below expectations, with revenue of 57.005 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.26%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.725 billion yuan, down 10.34% year-on-year [1][3] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 5.854 billion, 6.148 billion, and 6.329 billion yuan respectively, down from previous estimates [1] - The target price has been lowered to 13.92 yuan from 19.41 yuan, based on a 12x PE valuation for 2024 [1][5] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 98.345 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 114.930 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 0.8% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 7.105 billion yuan in 2022 to 5.854 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a decline of 2.3% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.16 yuan in 2024, slightly down from 1.41 yuan in 2022 [2] Sales Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved sales volumes of 4.8 million tons and 4.72 million tons in Q1 and Q2 respectively, totaling 9.52 million tons, an increase of 100,000 tons year-on-year [1] - The average selling prices for the first two quarters were 5,923 yuan and 6,060 yuan per ton, with gross margins of 729 yuan and 746 yuan per ton [1] Product Structure Adjustment - The company is actively adjusting its product mix to capture market opportunities, with bearing steel sales exceeding 1 million tons, up 13.04% year-on-year, and automotive steel sales exceeding 3 million tons, up 13.12% year-on-year [1] - The sales of "two highs and one special" products increased by 24% year-on-year [1] Innovation and Cost Management - The company continues to invest in R&D, achieving significant breakthroughs in high-temperature alloy materials, with over 30 model certifications from Chinese aviation manufacturers [1] - The company has improved key production and technical indicators by 73% year-on-year, focusing on reducing financing and operational costs [1]