中信特钢：产品结构再优化，业绩稳健

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a current price of 11.33 CNY and a target value of 17.70 CNY [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in net profit in Q2 2024, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.5%. The net profit for Q2 was 1.366 billion CNY, down 12% year-on-year but up 0.4% quarter-on-quarter. The basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.27 CNY, and the operating cash flow was 7.1 billion CNY, reflecting a 15% year-on-year increase and a significant recovery from a negative cash flow in the previous quarter [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2024, the company's net profit reached 2.7 billion CNY, a decrease of 10% year-on-year but an increase of 2% quarter-on-quarter. The company benefited from a VAT input tax deduction of 6.92 billion CNY [1]. - The sales volume of special steel in H1 2024 was stable at 9.52 million tons, with notable increases in automotive steel (up 13%) and bearing steel (up 13%). The sales of "two high and one special" products increased by 24%, and "small giants" sales rose by 15% [1]. - The gross profit per ton of steel was 737 CNY, down 13% year-on-year and stable quarter-on-quarter. Domestic gross profit per ton improved significantly, while export margins were negatively impacted [1]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to have EPS of 1.18 CNY, 1.26 CNY, and 1.36 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. Based on historical valuations and comparable company valuations, a PE ratio of 15 times for 2024 is suggested, leading to a target price of 17.70 CNY per share, thus maintaining a "Buy" rating [1].