LK(600388) 国泰君安·2024-08-23 17:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Longjing Environmental Protection (600388) with a target price of 16.65 RMB, down from the previous target of 18.10 RMB [3][8] Core Views - Longjing Environmental Protection achieved a 33% YoY growth in non-GAAP net profit in H1 2024, meeting expectations [1] - The company's traditional business has sufficient orders, with a gradually increasing market share [1][8] - The new energy business logic is gradually being realized, with progress in green power and green mining sectors [1][8] Financial Performance - H1 2024 revenue reached 4.672 billion RMB, a 5% YoY decline, while non-GAAP net profit grew 33% to 391 million RMB [8] - Gross margin improved by 0.21 percentage points to 23.46%, and net profit margin increased by 0.62 percentage points to 9.25% [8] - Operating cash flow surged 489% YoY to 532 million RMB [8] Business Operations - New environmental engineering contracts in H1 2024 totaled 5.527 billion RMB, with 57% from power industry and 43% from non-power sectors [8] - The company secured large-scale ultra-low emission projects for new coal-fired power units, enhancing domestic market share [8] - International expansion continued with new orders in Thailand, Vietnam, and Philippines [8] New Energy Development - The first phase of Tibet Laguo power supply project and Xinjiang Wucha 300MW photovoltaic project successfully started power generation [8] - The company launched green mining equipment solutions, focusing on electrification opportunities in mining equipment [8] - Energy storage business is progressing, with 1.499 billion RMB in system and equipment sales contracts [8] Financial Forecasts - 2024-2026 net profit forecasts adjusted to 1.204 billion, 1.524 billion, and 1.934 billion RMB respectively [8] - EPS for 2024-2026 projected at 1.11, 1.41, and 1.79 RMB [8] - 2024 PE ratio estimated at 15x, PB ratio at 2.1x [8] Market Performance - Current stock price at 11.10 RMB, with a 52-week range of 10.13-16.30 RMB [4] - Market capitalization stands at 12 billion RMB [4] - Stock performance shows -2% in 1 month, -6% in 3 months, and -30% in 12 months [7] Valuation Comparison - Comparable companies show 2024 average PE of 11.1x and median of 9.7x [11] - Longjing's 2024 PB valuation of 2.1x is higher than industry average of 1.1x and median of 1.3x [8][11]